SB has the following rules explained to her on Sunday.
You will be drugged to sleep now. Then we will flip a coin. On a heads, you will be shot in the head until dead. On a tails, you will be woken up tomorrow and asked “What is the probability that the coin landed tails?”
Who still thinks that SB should assign 1⁄2 to the probability that the coin landed heads?
I like Anthropic SB better.
SB has the following rules explained to her on Sunday.
You will be drugged to sleep now.
Then we will flip a coin.
On a heads, you will be shot in the head until dead.
On a tails, you will be woken up tomorrow and asked “What is the probability that the coin landed tails?”
Who still thinks that SB should assign 1⁄2 to the probability that the coin landed heads?