I don’t know / care to track the problem as it was originally formulated. If it’s as you say so, then I wholeheartedly agree that the correct answer is 1⁄3. It’s just nice to be able to reason correctly about this kind of anthropic questions and to be aware that the answer changes (which is not a given in non Bayesian takes on probability).
I don’t know / care to track the problem as it was originally formulated. If it’s as you say so, then I wholeheartedly agree that the correct answer is 1⁄3.
It’s just nice to be able to reason correctly about this kind of anthropic questions and to be aware that the answer changes (which is not a given in non Bayesian takes on probability).