Genome sequencing improved over-exponentially in the years of highest investment. Competition, availability of several different technological approaches and global research trends funding nano technology enabled this steep improvement. We should not call this a jump because we might need this word if developments reach timescales of weeks.
Current high funding for basic research (human brain project, human connectome and others), high competition and the availability of many technological paths make an over-exponential development likely.
Human genome project researchers spent most of their time on improving technology. After achiving magnitudes in speed-up they managed to sequence the largest proportion in the final year.
I expect similar over-exponential AGI improvements once we understand our brain. A WBE does not need to simulate a human brain. To steal the technology it is sufficient to simulate a brain with a small neocortex. A human brain with larger neocortex is just an quantitative extension.
Genome sequencing improved over-exponentially in the years of highest investment. Competition, availability of several different technological approaches and global research trends funding nano technology enabled this steep improvement. We should not call this a jump because we might need this word if developments reach timescales of weeks.
Current high funding for basic research (human brain project, human connectome and others), high competition and the availability of many technological paths make an over-exponential development likely.
Human genome project researchers spent most of their time on improving technology. After achiving magnitudes in speed-up they managed to sequence the largest proportion in the final year.
I expect similar over-exponential AGI improvements once we understand our brain. A WBE does not need to simulate a human brain. To steal the technology it is sufficient to simulate a brain with a small neocortex. A human brain with larger neocortex is just an quantitative extension.