I had a theory that the faked Iraqi soldier abuse photos were faked by the government to cast doubt on the [genuine] photos of the Abu Ghraib prison abuse. I had zero evidence for this theory; I just knew someone had faked photos of British soldiers abusing Iraqi POWs and thought about who would be the most likely group to benefit from this.
Similarly, I think that if 9/11 was a plot by the US government [I am very, but not totally, confident that it wasn’t], it would have been far simpler to actually train suicide bombers to fly into the World Trade Centre than to fake the plane crash altogether. So I’m more confident that that part of the conspiracy theory is wrong than that the US government wasn’t involved. [although I’m pretty confident of both] I could actually have been willing to believe the US government was behind the attack, though would have required more evidence than has ever been presented: Conspiracy theorists did a really bad job of finding a likely conspiracy theory.
I guess this is just waffle. I agree with Eliezer.
I had a theory that the faked Iraqi soldier abuse photos were faked by the government to cast doubt on the [genuine] photos of the Abu Ghraib prison abuse. I had zero evidence for this theory; I just knew someone had faked photos of British soldiers abusing Iraqi POWs and thought about who would be the most likely group to benefit from this.
Similarly, I think that if 9/11 was a plot by the US government [I am very, but not totally, confident that it wasn’t], it would have been far simpler to actually train suicide bombers to fly into the World Trade Centre than to fake the plane crash altogether. So I’m more confident that that part of the conspiracy theory is wrong than that the US government wasn’t involved. [although I’m pretty confident of both] I could actually have been willing to believe the US government was behind the attack, though would have required more evidence than has ever been presented: Conspiracy theorists did a really bad job of finding a likely conspiracy theory.
I guess this is just waffle. I agree with Eliezer.