https://manifold.markets/GavinMcCarthyBui/will-there-be-an-serious-coup-attem#9RRfMtk2k3DPAA7AM1Oo
https://manifold.markets/GavinMcCarthyBui/will-there-be-an-serious-coup-attem#9RRfMtk2k3DPAA7AM1Oo