It is true that you can get cheap prestige by lying, but also do not underestimate human stupidity.
We would need empirical data to figure this out. Sometimes I suspect that most criminals make stupid mistakes and that is how they are found out. Probably serious police/detective effort is spent on crimes that are important for political and other reasons, and the rest is kind of “by picking the low hanging fruit we get a 50-80% success rate and that’s enough”. But that’s just a guess.
It is true that you can get cheap prestige by lying, but also do not underestimate human stupidity.
We would need empirical data to figure this out. Sometimes I suspect that most criminals make stupid mistakes and that is how they are found out. Probably serious police/detective effort is spent on crimes that are important for political and other reasons, and the rest is kind of “by picking the low hanging fruit we get a 50-80% success rate and that’s enough”. But that’s just a guess.