Eh, I agree that this is less evidence for the most concerning scenarios (and is in fact less concerning) than us observing evidence of cross-episode or long time-horizon scheming, but it still seems that this type of reward-hacking is some evidence for the (more mundane and less worrying, but still somewhat worrying) reward-hacky/​mundane misalignment/​Goodharting concerns.
I also think my shortform from about a month ago nailed the relevant dynamics quite well. Though it was less of a prediction and more of an observation.
Eh, I agree that this is less evidence for the most concerning scenarios (and is in fact less concerning) than us observing evidence of cross-episode or long time-horizon scheming, but it still seems that this type of reward-hacking is some evidence for the (more mundane and less worrying, but still somewhat worrying) reward-hacky/​mundane misalignment/​Goodharting concerns.
I also think my shortform from about a month ago nailed the relevant dynamics quite well. Though it was less of a prediction and more of an observation.