Anti-inductive advice isn’t dangerous or useless, it’s just a poor form for its content, it’s better to formulate such things differently so that they don’t have this issue. The argument for why it’s poor form doesn’t have this particular piece of advice (if it’s to be taken as advice at all) as a central example, but a particular thing not being a central example for some argument doesn’t weaken the argument when it’s considered in its own right.
Like with the end of the world, the point isn’t that it’s something that happens sooner than in 20 years, but that it’s going to happen at some point, and wasting another 20 years on not doing anything about it isn’t the takeaway from predicting that it’ll take longer.
Anti-inductive advice isn’t dangerous or useless, it’s just a poor form for its content, it’s better to formulate such things differently so that they don’t have this issue. The argument for why it’s poor form doesn’t have this particular piece of advice (if it’s to be taken as advice at all) as a central example, but a particular thing not being a central example for some argument doesn’t weaken the argument when it’s considered in its own right.
Like with the end of the world, the point isn’t that it’s something that happens sooner than in 20 years, but that it’s going to happen at some point, and wasting another 20 years on not doing anything about it isn’t the takeaway from predicting that it’ll take longer.