If one isn’t already well versed in rationality, I can see this quote as encouraging people to make overconfident predictions on the basis of insufficient evidence.
Yeah, I’d be fine if this one just died now. I found it somewhere else then tried to tack some rationality to the end of it, with no particular success.
If one isn’t already well versed in rationality, I can see this quote as encouraging people to make overconfident predictions on the basis of insufficient evidence.
Fair enough. How about
Better, but I think that we’re still losing too much information in it for this to be useful.
Yeah, I’d be fine if this one just died now. I found it somewhere else then tried to tack some rationality to the end of it, with no particular success.