I’ve been getting into more general political theory recently and I really like the idea of multi-lateralism and it feels a bit underrepresented in the LW rhetoric maybe due to the US-centricity of the site? (I liked this interview with finland’s prime minister, I thought he was quite well spoken: https://youtu.be/ubZeguAk0fM?si=7H7nJfnCANCWRcDN)
The difference is basically between being driven by cooperation, values, norms and treaties on the multi-lateralist side and power on the multipolar side. It feels like a lot of the analysis has been based on power and this is especially true in US-China relations. This just feels obviously worse than aiming for a multi-lateral world order and based on some sort of power-concentrating assumption?
Maybe it is also partly due to the unipolar world that we have had from beforehand with the US as a global hegemon?
Some might say that it is implausible to aim for multi-lateralism and that power concentration is a fact of the world due to how ASI will arise. I do not believe this to be the case, distillation of models exist, LLMs are highly parallelisable, these are all things that point at a broad usage of LLMs in the future.
Finally, there is a serious possibility at this point that the USA will grow into a proto-fascist state since it is starting to get easier and easier to predict by viewing it from a fascist lens.
Power generally tends to corrupt and distribution of power is often a good thing as it enables leverage for deals and cooperation. Maybe this is like a mega lukewarm take but I feel that some people are still stuck in the “we need a manhattan project for AI Safety” train of thought. Also, finally, I would really like to see Anthropic or Google Deepmind or any AI company for that matter involve themselves a lot more in improving democracy across the world and for them to become a lot more globalist. This is a strategy change that is plausible to implement and it will likely decrease the risks from power concentration as it seems states are getting quite grabby in this changing world order.
If I was Dario Amodei in the future bestseller Anthropic and The Methods of Rationality I would start to create multi-lateral cooperation across the world as that will build lots of leverage and good will for future adoption of technologies even with the US since you could use your global relationships to get leverage on national decisions.
I’ve been getting into more general political theory recently and I really like the idea of multi-lateralism and it feels a bit underrepresented in the LW rhetoric maybe due to the US-centricity of the site? (I liked this interview with finland’s prime minister, I thought he was quite well spoken: https://youtu.be/ubZeguAk0fM?si=7H7nJfnCANCWRcDN)
The difference is basically between being driven by cooperation, values, norms and treaties on the multi-lateralist side and power on the multipolar side. It feels like a lot of the analysis has been based on power and this is especially true in US-China relations. This just feels obviously worse than aiming for a multi-lateral world order and based on some sort of power-concentrating assumption?
Maybe it is also partly due to the unipolar world that we have had from beforehand with the US as a global hegemon?
Some might say that it is implausible to aim for multi-lateralism and that power concentration is a fact of the world due to how ASI will arise. I do not believe this to be the case, distillation of models exist, LLMs are highly parallelisable, these are all things that point at a broad usage of LLMs in the future.
Finally, there is a serious possibility at this point that the USA will grow into a proto-fascist state since it is starting to get easier and easier to predict by viewing it from a fascist lens.
Power generally tends to corrupt and distribution of power is often a good thing as it enables leverage for deals and cooperation. Maybe this is like a mega lukewarm take but I feel that some people are still stuck in the “we need a manhattan project for AI Safety” train of thought. Also, finally, I would really like to see Anthropic or Google Deepmind or any AI company for that matter involve themselves a lot more in improving democracy across the world and for them to become a lot more globalist. This is a strategy change that is plausible to implement and it will likely decrease the risks from power concentration as it seems states are getting quite grabby in this changing world order.
If I was Dario Amodei in the future bestseller Anthropic and The Methods of Rationality I would start to create multi-lateral cooperation across the world as that will build lots of leverage and good will for future adoption of technologies even with the US since you could use your global relationships to get leverage on national decisions.
End of rant, European out.