That’s a misleading way to put it. If they’re right 75% of the time, they’ll think their probability of being right is over 90%. Trying to convince people that it’s 75% in practice will make them uncomfortable, so it might be better to choose examples where the outcomes aren’t important.
That’s a misleading way to put it. If they’re right 75% of the time, they’ll think their probability of being right is over 90%. Trying to convince people that it’s 75% in practice will make them uncomfortable, so it might be better to choose examples where the outcomes aren’t important.
Could you offer any more specific thoughts on what those examples might be?