Very late, but I think the comment you replied to does match my experience. I have a terrible memory, and this is an algorithm that is mostly functional even without the ability to reliably remember specific evidence (except of course when it completely falls apart).
Example: Walking in the woods, you see something white on the ground. You don’t look at it closely, because nothing in your hypothesis set says that it’s likely to be important. It does not act as evidence to update any of your hypotheses because you don’t pay attention to it, and makes so little impression on you that you don’t remember it at all. Repeat forever, evidence that could update you towards “polar bear” rounds to zero every time.
Very late, but I think the comment you replied to does match my experience. I have a terrible memory, and this is an algorithm that is mostly functional even without the ability to reliably remember specific evidence (except of course when it completely falls apart).
Example: Walking in the woods, you see something white on the ground. You don’t look at it closely, because nothing in your hypothesis set says that it’s likely to be important. It does not act as evidence to update any of your hypotheses because you don’t pay attention to it, and makes so little impression on you that you don’t remember it at all. Repeat forever, evidence that could update you towards “polar bear” rounds to zero every time.