What is the highest probability of extinction through which a wise man would be willing to proceed? As i see it, any probability greater than 1:10,000 in 100 years is absurd. Maybe 100,000 is more like it. One in a million would be reasonable, from the perspective of Pascale’s Wager. (Not accounting for potential benefit on the upside.)
I’m interested in the numbers other folks would be willing to tolerate.
What is the highest probability of extinction through which a wise man would be willing to proceed? As i see it, any probability greater than 1:10,000 in 100 years is absurd. Maybe 100,000 is more like it. One in a million would be reasonable, from the perspective of Pascale’s Wager. (Not accounting for potential benefit on the upside.)
I’m interested in the numbers other folks would be willing to tolerate.