“Overall these estimates imply a timeline of [372 years](https://aiimpacts.org/surveys-on-fractional-progress-towards-hlai/).”That was only for Hanson’s convenience sample, other surveys using the method gave much shorter timelines, as discussed in the post.
Ah, fair point, looking back at this summary I probably should have clarified that the methodology could be applied with other samples and those look much less long.
“Overall these estimates imply a timeline of [372 years](https://aiimpacts.org/surveys-on-fractional-progress-towards-hlai/).”
That was only for Hanson’s convenience sample, other surveys using the method gave much shorter timelines, as discussed in the post.
Ah, fair point, looking back at this summary I probably should have clarified that the methodology could be applied with other samples and those look much less long.