Somehow every time people talk about joints, it turns out being more about naive intuitions of personal identity, than reality^^.
I don’t see how it is possible in principle. If the Beauty in the middle of experiment how can she starts participating in another experiment without breaking the setting of the current one?
If you insist on Monday and Tuesday being on the same week, then by backing up her memory: after each awakening we save memory and schedule memory loading and new experiment to a later free week. Or we can start new experiment after each awakening and schedule Tuesdays for later. Does either of these allow you to change your model?
In what sense is she the same person anyway if you treat any waking moment as a different person?
You can treat every memory sequence as a different person.
No, they are not. Events that happen to Beauty on Monday and Tuesday are not mutually exclusive because they are sequential. On Tails if an awakening happened to her on Monday it necessary means that an awakening will happen to her on Tuesday in the same experiment.
But the same argument isn’t applicable to fissure, where awakening in different Rooms are not sequential, and truly are mutually exclusive. If you are awaken in Room 1 you definetely are not awaken in Room 2 in this experiment and vice versa.
I’m not saying the arguments are literally identical.
Your argument is:
The awakening on Tuesday happens always and only after the awakening on Monday.
Somehow every time people talk about joints, it turns out being more about naive intuitions of personal identity, than reality^^.
If you insist on Monday and Tuesday being on the same week, then by backing up her memory: after each awakening we save memory and schedule memory loading and new experiment to a later free week. Or we can start new experiment after each awakening and schedule Tuesdays for later. Does either of these allow you to change your model?
You can treat every memory sequence as a different person.
I’m not saying the arguments are literally identical.
Your argument is:
The awakening on Tuesday happens always and only after the awakening on Monday.
Therefore !(P(Monday) = 0 & P(Tuesday) = 1) & !(P(Monday) > 0 & P(Tuesday) < 1).
Therefore they are not exclusive.
The argument about copies is:
The awakening in Room 1 always happens and the awakening in Room 2 always happens.
Therefore !(P(Room 1) < 1) & !(P(Room 2) < 1).
Therefore they are not exclusive.
Why the second one doesn’t work?
I agree, some are more preferable. Therefore probabilities depend on preferences.