I realize this isn’t a prediction that people are overconfident and pessimistic about, but these are such great concepts, I would like to apply them everywhere.
In addition to my experiences where LessWrongers have been surprisingly overconfident and pessimistic about IQ claims, Yvain has also made an observation in the 2012 survey with “some people have been pretty quick to ridicule this survey’s intelligence numbers as completely useless and impossible and so on”. It’s not just me who is encountering this, so I wonder if this might be common mistake that LessWrongers make.
A virtuous doubt that applies to us:
Doubt that LessWrong is gifted.
Here, I consider the opposite.
I realize this isn’t a prediction that people are overconfident and pessimistic about, but these are such great concepts, I would like to apply them everywhere.
In addition to my experiences where LessWrongers have been surprisingly overconfident and pessimistic about IQ claims, Yvain has also made an observation in the 2012 survey with “some people have been pretty quick to ridicule this survey’s intelligence numbers as completely useless and impossible and so on”. It’s not just me who is encountering this, so I wonder if this might be common mistake that LessWrongers make.