In order to avoid selection bias, it would be good to define some domain(s) and then study all long-term predictions in those domains. Something along the lines of “the first 100 studies listed in a search of such-and-such database using these keywords”. Note, I haven’t read the full email exchange, so if this is addressed there, I apologize for wasting your time.
In order to avoid selection bias, it would be good to define some domain(s) and then study all long-term predictions in those domains. Something along the lines of “the first 100 studies listed in a search of such-and-such database using these keywords”. Note, I haven’t read the full email exchange, so if this is addressed there, I apologize for wasting your time.