In the long run, I expect crime will continue to decrease because technology tends to augment the capabilities of intelligent people and large, coordinated groups more than it augments dimmer people and small groups. Since crime is mostly committed by less capable individuals and smaller groups, they should fare poorly against private security and law enforcement.
This is certainly a plausible explanation of part of what is going on. But I’m not sure it explains everything. It may be testable though: if it is correct one would expect the drop in crime rate to be higher in areas where the police have been quicker to adopt new prevention measures.
In the long run, I expect crime will continue to decrease because technology tends to augment the capabilities of intelligent people and large, coordinated groups more than it augments dimmer people and small groups. Since crime is mostly committed by less capable individuals and smaller groups, they should fare poorly against private security and law enforcement.
This is certainly a plausible explanation of part of what is going on. But I’m not sure it explains everything. It may be testable though: if it is correct one would expect the drop in crime rate to be higher in areas where the police have been quicker to adopt new prevention measures.