You’re using different definitions for doubt here, and that is the issue. EY uses “doubt” in the sense of a suspicion that not enough knowledge is currently had to evaluate a specific claim, while you are using it as the opposite of “certainty” (though not consistently, somehow). In saying that doubt should not be lived with he was referencing his previously posted explanation of how these specific suspicions by nature are meant to annihilate themselves. Either you find the evidence you thought was missing or you conclude after some searching that finding it would be a waste of energy and make your judgment based on the evidence you already have, and either way, that doubt is gone.
If you still harbor doubts, in his sense, that Christianity may be true, you should search for that missing evidence immediately or conclude that the effort to find it isn’t worth it and assign the likelihood the ridiculously small probability it deserves. Notice that I did not say that you should claim with certainty that christianilty is false; predicting anything with true 100% certainty is, for a bayesian, truly stupid, because on the absurdly small chance that you’re wrong, you lose the game, having just conceded that you assigned your life a likelyhood of 0%.
You’re using different definitions for doubt here, and that is the issue. EY uses “doubt” in the sense of a suspicion that not enough knowledge is currently had to evaluate a specific claim, while you are using it as the opposite of “certainty” (though not consistently, somehow). In saying that doubt should not be lived with he was referencing his previously posted explanation of how these specific suspicions by nature are meant to annihilate themselves. Either you find the evidence you thought was missing or you conclude after some searching that finding it would be a waste of energy and make your judgment based on the evidence you already have, and either way, that doubt is gone.
If you still harbor doubts, in his sense, that Christianity may be true, you should search for that missing evidence immediately or conclude that the effort to find it isn’t worth it and assign the likelihood the ridiculously small probability it deserves. Notice that I did not say that you should claim with certainty that christianilty is false; predicting anything with true 100% certainty is, for a bayesian, truly stupid, because on the absurdly small chance that you’re wrong, you lose the game, having just conceded that you assigned your life a likelyhood of 0%.