Why shouldn’t we focus on working out our preferences in more detail for the scenarios we think most likely? If I think it rather unlikely that I’ll have a genie who can grant three wishes, why should I work hard to figure out what those wishes would be? If we disagree about what scenarios are how likely, we will of course disagree about where preferences should be elaborated in the most detail.
Why shouldn’t we focus on working out our preferences in more detail for the scenarios we think most likely? If I think it rather unlikely that I’ll have a genie who can grant three wishes, why should I work hard to figure out what those wishes would be? If we disagree about what scenarios are how likely, we will of course disagree about where preferences should be elaborated in the most detail.