This looks like it might be helpful: http://sds.hss.cmu.edu/media/pdfs/fischhoff/HindsightEarlyHistory.pdf
Looks like that particular experiment was discussed in a different paper.
This looks like it might be helpful: http://sds.hss.cmu.edu/media/pdfs/fischhoff/HindsightEarlyHistory.pdf
Looks like that particular experiment was discussed in a different paper.