This is interesting in what it suggests for the future.
Romney is a conservative mormon, for example.
Beck’s rant proposing that the political left is aligned with a nebulous big-government/big-business anti-technological movement may be mostly rhetorical hot air, but it did make me wonder . ..
Well before AGI is super-intelligent, weaker AGI and stronger narrow AI will likely lead to a hugely disruptive socio-economic disruption. This isn’t being discussed much (outside of perhaps a lone blog and book or two).
Actually, this transition is already under way. The current slow-burn economic crisis is likely just the beginning. Crisis has a way of sparking political change. What will the masses do when most people have real economic value that is well below subsistence?
Beck’s rant proposing that the political left is aligned with a nebulous big-government/big-business anti-technological movement may be mostly rhetorical hot air, but it did make me wonder . ..
I get the same feeling with Thiel noticing our lack of techno-optimism in our culture compared with our optimism at 1950. Doesn’t he largely blame entrenched interests putting up regulation to stop new start ups?
Meandering from that post, came across this graph of productivity versus employment. I’m fairly convinced technology is the leading factor in the divergence, even though others mention the financial sector and probably politically-motivated concerns about different presidents.
Not sure if we will experience another industrial revolution scenario of labor devaluation or whether this change will be qualitatively different.
I wonder who will benefit fiscally from booms in non-human productivity, and whether monetary gain will still mean the same thing it recently has.
Well before AGI is super-intelligent, weaker AGI and stronger narrow AI will likely lead to a hugely disruptive socio-economic disruption. This isn’t being discussed much...
Right at the cusp of change, humans will have tremendous ability to exercise choices about where this all ends up.
What will the masses do when most people have real economic value that is well below subsistence?
Often the choices of the masses in a crisis result in more crisis. I think it’s wisest to completely avoid situations where the masses are making choices in crisis.
This is interesting in what it suggests for the future.
Romney is a conservative mormon, for example.
Beck’s rant proposing that the political left is aligned with a nebulous big-government/big-business anti-technological movement may be mostly rhetorical hot air, but it did make me wonder . ..
Well before AGI is super-intelligent, weaker AGI and stronger narrow AI will likely lead to a hugely disruptive socio-economic disruption. This isn’t being discussed much (outside of perhaps a lone blog and book or two).
Actually, this transition is already under way. The current slow-burn economic crisis is likely just the beginning. Crisis has a way of sparking political change. What will the masses do when most people have real economic value that is well below subsistence?
I get the same feeling with Thiel noticing our lack of techno-optimism in our culture compared with our optimism at 1950. Doesn’t he largely blame entrenched interests putting up regulation to stop new start ups?
I failed to spark good discussion of that subject with this post on “semi-general” AIs.
Meandering from that post, came across this graph of productivity versus employment. I’m fairly convinced technology is the leading factor in the divergence, even though others mention the financial sector and probably politically-motivated concerns about different presidents.
Not sure if we will experience another industrial revolution scenario of labor devaluation or whether this change will be qualitatively different.
I wonder who will benefit fiscally from booms in non-human productivity, and whether monetary gain will still mean the same thing it recently has.
I have noticed it too: http://lesswrong.com/lw/cxi/peter_thiels_agi_discussion_in_his_startups_class/6s1k
Right at the cusp of change, humans will have tremendous ability to exercise choices about where this all ends up.
Often the choices of the masses in a crisis result in more crisis. I think it’s wisest to completely avoid situations where the masses are making choices in crisis.