Agreed. Implicitly the intended audience is already familiar with many of those.
Overbuilding an outside view and under-building an inside view is one of the key generators of akrasia, and renders knowledge inert rather than allowing book knowledge to be mixed in with lived life experience.
I’d guess it’s a classic bias-variance tradeoff. Rolling novel causal models is high variance while outside view considerations can be biased in ways you are blind to but can be good enough for coarse analysis when you just need to get the sign right.
Agreed. Implicitly the intended audience is already familiar with many of those.
Overbuilding an outside view and under-building an inside view is one of the key generators of akrasia, and renders knowledge inert rather than allowing book knowledge to be mixed in with lived life experience.
I’d guess it’s a classic bias-variance tradeoff. Rolling novel causal models is high variance while outside view considerations can be biased in ways you are blind to but can be good enough for coarse analysis when you just need to get the sign right.