Hey now, I spent several months doing loads of research and writing copious notes to produce my personal highly refined ass-numbers! They may smell, but at least I understand their provenance! Lol. Anyway, my story has a lot in common with yours. GPT-2 unnerved me, GPT-3 scared me by suggesting that scaling might take us all the way to a takeoff of some sort.
I breathed a big sigh of relief when GPT-4 came out and it was only in the middle-ish of my predicted capability range rather than near the top. I mean, it’s still scary, but we probably have at least another year or two before things get really nuts. Maybe even as many as five years! What a blessing that would be!
Hey now, I spent several months doing loads of research and writing copious notes to produce my personal highly refined ass-numbers! They may smell, but at least I understand their provenance! Lol. Anyway, my story has a lot in common with yours. GPT-2 unnerved me, GPT-3 scared me by suggesting that scaling might take us all the way to a takeoff of some sort.
I breathed a big sigh of relief when GPT-4 came out and it was only in the middle-ish of my predicted capability range rather than near the top. I mean, it’s still scary, but we probably have at least another year or two before things get really nuts. Maybe even as many as five years! What a blessing that would be!