Well said! This resonates with my Eliezer-model too.
Taking this into account I’d update my guess of Eliezer’s position to:
Eliezer: 5% soft takeoff, 80% hard takeoff, 15% something else
This last “something else” bucket added because “the Future is notoriously difficult to predict” (paraphrasing Eliezer).
Well said! This resonates with my Eliezer-model too.
Taking this into account I’d update my guess of Eliezer’s position to:
Eliezer: 5% soft takeoff, 80% hard takeoff, 15% something else
This last “something else” bucket added because “the Future is notoriously difficult to predict” (paraphrasing Eliezer).