I’m not interested in the studies of schooling proponents and I’m not citing their work. The situation is not symmetric. Schools already exist and so we know what the world with schools looks like. The question is, “what would a world without schools look like”. It’s possible that pro-school arguments are weak, and it’s possible that anti-school arguments are stronger. But even if the expected outcome of demolishing schools was positive, I would not support it unless the confidence in this outcome was also very high. Because the worst case scenario seems very bad.
When I ask if I can take Caplan’s book seriously, I’m asking if he’s aware of such considerations or if his argument ends with “there is no proof that schools work so we should demolish them”.
Of course, demolishing all schools isn’t the only option. And I guess I could update my beliefs about whether something like unschooling should be encouraged more.
Yes, Caplan is aware of all of the considerations you’ve raised. It’s a good read too.
He also doesn’t push “demolishing all schools” but cutting government subsidies. He’s also confident that that’s not going to happen. Even in the event that substantial cuts in subsidies *were* realized, he doesn’t imagine *no* schools, just significantly fewer. He also ‘supports’ subsidized grade school (as a form of daycare). His conclusions are most directed at graduate school, college, and, to a lesser extent, high school.
And maybe it’s not clear, but Caplan’s book is about the benefits of education, in its current forms, being weak *relative to their costs* (e.g. other opportunities).
If you say that, I’ll have to raise my confidence in Caplan a little bit. But I’d raise it a lot more if you hinted at what those considerations actually look like. How high is his confidence in his conclusions, and where is that confidence coming from?
I’m not interested in the studies of schooling proponents and I’m not citing their work. The situation is not symmetric. Schools already exist and so we know what the world with schools looks like. The question is, “what would a world without schools look like”. It’s possible that pro-school arguments are weak, and it’s possible that anti-school arguments are stronger. But even if the expected outcome of demolishing schools was positive, I would not support it unless the confidence in this outcome was also very high. Because the worst case scenario seems very bad.
When I ask if I can take Caplan’s book seriously, I’m asking if he’s aware of such considerations or if his argument ends with “there is no proof that schools work so we should demolish them”.
Of course, demolishing all schools isn’t the only option. And I guess I could update my beliefs about whether something like unschooling should be encouraged more.
Yes, Caplan is aware of all of the considerations you’ve raised. It’s a good read too.
He also doesn’t push “demolishing all schools” but cutting government subsidies. He’s also confident that that’s not going to happen. Even in the event that substantial cuts in subsidies *were* realized, he doesn’t imagine *no* schools, just significantly fewer. He also ‘supports’ subsidized grade school (as a form of daycare). His conclusions are most directed at graduate school, college, and, to a lesser extent, high school.
And maybe it’s not clear, but Caplan’s book is about the benefits of education, in its current forms, being weak *relative to their costs* (e.g. other opportunities).
If you say that, I’ll have to raise my confidence in Caplan a little bit. But I’d raise it a lot more if you hinted at what those considerations actually look like. How high is his confidence in his conclusions, and where is that confidence coming from?