Plan S is better at averting permanent disempowerment (it enables more chances to take this specific problem seriously), even as perhaps it’s modestly worse than Plan A at averting extinction. In the futures where Plan A doesn’t lead to extinction, it still almost certainly ends in permanent disempowerment (the future of humanity only gets breadcrumbs of the reachable universe).
(My impression is that Yudkowsky/Soares expect extinction where I expect permanent disempowerment. And I expect permanent disempowerment to be likely averted in the futures where they expect extinction to be averted.)
Plan S is better at averting permanent disempowerment (it enables more chances to take this specific problem seriously), even as perhaps it’s modestly worse than Plan A at averting extinction. In the futures where Plan A doesn’t lead to extinction, it still almost certainly ends in permanent disempowerment (the future of humanity only gets breadcrumbs of the reachable universe).
(My impression is that Yudkowsky/Soares expect extinction where I expect permanent disempowerment. And I expect permanent disempowerment to be likely averted in the futures where they expect extinction to be averted.)