Will we get to this point by incremental progress that yields smallish improvements (=slow), or by some breakthrough that when scaled up can rush past the human intelligence level very quickly (=fast)?
AI speed advantage makes fast vs. slow ambiguous, because it doesn’t require AI getting smarter in order to make startlingly fast progress, and might be about passing a capability threshold (of something like autonomous research) with no distinct breakthroughs leading up to it (by getting to a slightly higher level of scaling or compute efficiency with some old technique).
Ok yeah I think my statement is conflating fast-vs-slow with breakthrough-vs-continuous, though I think there’s a correlation.
(I still think fast-vs-slow makes sense as concept separately and is important.)
Ok yeah I think my statement is conflating fast-vs-slow with breakthrough-vs-continuous, though I think there’s a correlation.
(I still think fast-vs-slow makes sense as concept separately and is important.)