Not sure if this is the intended reading, but I interpreted it as “there’s no similar fundamental reason why cognitive oversight should get harder at each stage given access to our then-best oversight tools” rather than “cognitive oversight won’t get harder at all”.
With behavioral oversight, even not-very-smart AIs could fool very powerful overseers, while fooling powerful cognitive overseers is much harder (though plausibly the balance shifts at some level of capability).
Not sure if this is the intended reading, but I interpreted it as “there’s no similar fundamental reason why cognitive oversight should get harder at each stage given access to our then-best oversight tools” rather than “cognitive oversight won’t get harder at all”.
With behavioral oversight, even not-very-smart AIs could fool very powerful overseers, while fooling powerful cognitive overseers is much harder (though plausibly the balance shifts at some level of capability).