Oh yeah that is a good point to bring up. I agree that the empirics of how good few shot catastrophe prevention is will affect both the usefulness of post-prevented-catastrophe models and change how good of a strategy rare failures is. It’s also the case that the rare failures comes from great pre-deployment (or in-deployment) evaluations and training procedures, but in some sense this is also a version of few-shot catastrophe prevention with different affordances for the safety team IRL.
The diffuse stakes control doesn’t suffer from this and just directly engages with the dynamic of training the model on failures and getting useful work out of a misaligned model
Oh yeah that is a good point to bring up. I agree that the empirics of how good few shot catastrophe prevention is will affect both the usefulness of post-prevented-catastrophe models and change how good of a strategy rare failures is. It’s also the case that the rare failures comes from great pre-deployment (or in-deployment) evaluations and training procedures, but in some sense this is also a version of few-shot catastrophe prevention with different affordances for the safety team IRL.
The diffuse stakes control doesn’t suffer from this and just directly engages with the dynamic of training the model on failures and getting useful work out of a misaligned model