As you note, opinions differ widely, on many axes, and while I also will like to see more people’s viewpoints and advice made explicit, there is really no path you can actually be confident in. In that kind of scenario, there’s IMO three factors to consider.
First, which predictions resonate with you, and best withstand scrutiny from you?
Second, which paths fail most gracefully? In the event you pick wrong (and in which there was a right thing to pick), what leaves you in an acceptable position anyway?
Third, by what criteria do you wish for your actions to be judged, and which paths best align with that?
As you note, opinions differ widely, on many axes, and while I also will like to see more people’s viewpoints and advice made explicit, there is really no path you can actually be confident in. In that kind of scenario, there’s IMO three factors to consider.
First, which predictions resonate with you, and best withstand scrutiny from you?
Second, which paths fail most gracefully? In the event you pick wrong (and in which there was a right thing to pick), what leaves you in an acceptable position anyway?
Third, by what criteria do you wish for your actions to be judged, and which paths best align with that?