Don’t take “2030” literally¹ —it could also be 2035 or 2040.
Having a concrete date is important for exactly the same reason that you probably don’t want to give anyone a concrete date: it means that your predictions become falsifiable, and if they turn out to have been false, we don’t have to pay as much attention to you next time.
Having a concrete date is important for exactly the same reason that you probably don’t want to give anyone a concrete date: it means that your predictions become falsifiable, and if they turn out to have been false, we don’t have to pay as much attention to you next time.
Feel free to stop paying attention to me now! I am not a super forecaster nor pretending to be one!