I think I give FDT more credit than you, though—I do think there is an intuitive and objective sense in which it performs better. It’s just that metaphysics is needed to articulate it / make it fully precise. (In other words, the study of decision theory naturally leads to metaphysics.)
Just came across this post! It has a lot of similarities to my recent post Stop doing decision theory without metaphysics (although I allow myself more sociological speculation).
I think I give FDT more credit than you, though—I do think there is an intuitive and objective sense in which it performs better. It’s just that metaphysics is needed to articulate it / make it fully precise. (In other words, the study of decision theory naturally leads to metaphysics.)