Unfortunately, my model of the world is that if AI kills “more than 10%,” it’s probably going to be everyone and everything, so the insurance won’t work according to my beliefs.
I only defined AI catastrophe as “killing more than 10%” because it’s what the survey by Karger et al. asked the participants.
I don’t believe in option 2, because if you asked people to bet against AI risk with unfavourable odds, they probably won’t feel too confident against AI risk.
:) thank you so much for your thoughts.
Unfortunately, my model of the world is that if AI kills “more than 10%,” it’s probably going to be everyone and everything, so the insurance won’t work according to my beliefs.
I only defined AI catastrophe as “killing more than 10%” because it’s what the survey by Karger et al. asked the participants.
I don’t believe in option 2, because if you asked people to bet against AI risk with unfavourable odds, they probably won’t feel too confident against AI risk.