Roman Malov comments on Daniel Kokotajlo’s Shortform

[Roman Malov]

I am a bit confused about what 10x slowdown means. I assumed you meant going from $e^{\lambda t}$ to $e^{0.1\lambda t}$ on R&D coefficient, but the definition from the comment by @ryan_greenblatt seems to imply going from $e^{\lambda t}$ to $0.1e^{\lambda t}$ (which, according to AI 2027 predictions, would result in a 6-month delay).

The definition I’m talking about:

8x slowdown in the rate of research progress around superhuman AI researcher level averaged over some period