I’ve been making increasingly more genuine arguments about this regarding horoscopes. They’re not “scientific,” but neither are any of my hobbies, and they’re only harmful when taken to the extreme but that’s also true for all my hobbies, and they seem to have a bunch of low-grade benefits like “making you curious about your personality.” So then I felt astrology done scientifically (where you make predictions but hedge them and are really humble about failure) is way better than science done shoddily (where you yell at people for not wearing a mask to your intensity.) So I settled on the 52⁄48 rule—science, the truth, liberal democracy, all of these things have about a 2% edge over their enemies. It’s very rational to wind up in the 48 (a small mistake not a big one) and very hard to beat a 48 when you need to (like persuading people to take vaccines). I agree that humility is a good start. This seems to fit what I’ve lived through much better than my old ideology prior of like, 100-epsilon/epsilon.
I’ve been making increasingly more genuine arguments about this regarding horoscopes. They’re not “scientific,” but neither are any of my hobbies, and they’re only harmful when taken to the extreme but that’s also true for all my hobbies, and they seem to have a bunch of low-grade benefits like “making you curious about your personality.” So then I felt astrology done scientifically (where you make predictions but hedge them and are really humble about failure) is way better than science done shoddily (where you yell at people for not wearing a mask to your intensity.) So I settled on the 52⁄48 rule—science, the truth, liberal democracy, all of these things have about a 2% edge over their enemies. It’s very rational to wind up in the 48 (a small mistake not a big one) and very hard to beat a 48 when you need to (like persuading people to take vaccines). I agree that humility is a good start. This seems to fit what I’ve lived through much better than my old ideology prior of like, 100-epsilon/epsilon.