J Thomas, I would guess that in real life your method would work well in this specific case, because I’m guessing the prior odds are more extreme than the likelihoods. But you’re correct that, in general, it is equally fallacious to ignore evidence as to ignore priors. :)
J Thomas, I would guess that in real life your method would work well in this specific case, because I’m guessing the prior odds are more extreme than the likelihoods. But you’re correct that, in general, it is equally fallacious to ignore evidence as to ignore priors. :)