that’s fair, i’ll think about softening this piece. though i don’t think he is engaging very well with other people here. Like the way he talks about the “doomers” is clearly mocking too:
“One common assumption (though less prevalent with time) among many people in “the AI safety community” is that artificial superintelligence will be able to “do anything.” Now, most people in this world are much too smart to say literally these words, and so it might be fairer to put my criticism this way: “many people in ‘the AI safety community’ are way too willing to resort to extreme levels of hand-waviness when it comes to the supposed capabilities of superintelligent AI.” The tautological pattern of the AI safetyist mind is easy enough to recognize once you encounter it a few times: “Well of course superintelligence will be able to do that. After all, it’s superintelligence. And because superintelligence will obviously be able to do that, you must agree with me that banning superintelligence is an urgent necessity.”” – from his 2023 text (that’s the name, he just posted it)
that’s fair, i’ll think about softening this piece. though i don’t think he is engaging very well with other people here. Like the way he talks about the “doomers” is clearly mocking too:
“One common assumption (though less prevalent with time) among many people in “the AI safety community” is that artificial superintelligence will be able to “do anything.” Now, most people in this world are much too smart to say literally these words, and so it might be fairer to put my criticism this way: “many people in ‘the AI safety community’ are way too willing to resort to extreme levels of hand-waviness when it comes to the supposed capabilities of superintelligent AI.” The tautological pattern of the AI safetyist mind is easy enough to recognize once you encounter it a few times: “Well of course superintelligence will be able to do that. After all, it’s superintelligence. And because superintelligence will obviously be able to do that, you must agree with me that banning superintelligence is an urgent necessity.””
– from his 2023 text (that’s the name, he just posted it)
...which he updated heavily from since, after engaging honestly and reasonably with people from the community!
What exactly did he update? I saw that post where he apparently shortened his timelines?