One question after reading the article. The main problem of Fermi paradox is not why aliens are hiding, but why they don’t interact with human civilization.
Imagine that the article assumptions are true and on a remote asteroid of the Solar System is hiding a colony of alien nanobots which waits better times. How will it interact with human civilization?
They may ignore our transformation into a supercivilization, but there is a risk that Earthlings will start to burn precious resources.
So after we reach a certain threshold they either have to terminate human civilization or enter into the negotiations with us. We did not yet reach the threshold, but the creation of our own superintelligence is probably after the threshold, where we could be easily stopped.
So the unknown threshold is in the near future and it clearly an x-risks.
But why bother waiting for that event, when a diverted meteor could have solved the “problem” centuries ago? Human created AI was plausible from the industrial revolution—not a certainty, but not less than 10^-6, say. Well worth a small meteor diversion.
There is probably an observation selection effect here in play—if the meteor were diverted, we would not exist by now.
So only late threshold “berserkers” may still exist. Maybe they are rather far—and the meteor is on the way.
But I think, if they exist, they must be already on Earth in the form of alien nanobots, which could exist everywhere in small quantities, maybe even in my brain. In that case, alien civilisation is able to understand what is going on on Earth and silently prevent bad outcomes.
One question after reading the article. The main problem of Fermi paradox is not why aliens are hiding, but why they don’t interact with human civilization.
Imagine that the article assumptions are true and on a remote asteroid of the Solar System is hiding a colony of alien nanobots which waits better times. How will it interact with human civilization?
They may ignore our transformation into a supercivilization, but there is a risk that Earthlings will start to burn precious resources.
So after we reach a certain threshold they either have to terminate human civilization or enter into the negotiations with us. We did not yet reach the threshold, but the creation of our own superintelligence is probably after the threshold, where we could be easily stopped.
So the unknown threshold is in the near future and it clearly an x-risks.
But why bother waiting for that event, when a diverted meteor could have solved the “problem” centuries ago? Human created AI was plausible from the industrial revolution—not a certainty, but not less than 10^-6, say. Well worth a small meteor diversion.
There is probably an observation selection effect here in play—if the meteor were diverted, we would not exist by now.
So only late threshold “berserkers” may still exist. Maybe they are rather far—and the meteor is on the way.
But I think, if they exist, they must be already on Earth in the form of alien nanobots, which could exist everywhere in small quantities, maybe even in my brain. In that case, alien civilisation is able to understand what is going on on Earth and silently prevent bad outcomes.