Since no one seems to have pointed you here, check out A Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation, and if necessary An Intuitive Explanation of Bayes’s Theorem if you aren’t familiar with these concepts. Slightly shorter, if you’re familiar with the basics: 0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities.
Since no one seems to have pointed you here, check out A Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation, and if necessary An Intuitive Explanation of Bayes’s Theorem if you aren’t familiar with these concepts. Slightly shorter, if you’re familiar with the basics: 0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities.