the article says that there’s much less evidence of a female preference for male symmetry than was previously believed.
I totally predicted that one. Hmph. Is there a discussion post somewhere for people to post predictions? Ideally it’d be near the top of Top, if people voted it up enough. I like the idea of prediction markets but they seem cumbersome and many sorts of predictions need to be made super precise before you can bet on them, even if they wouldn’t have to be that precise to be socially acknowledged as sticking their necks out.
I totally predicted that one. Hmph. Is there a discussion post somewhere for people to post predictions? Ideally it’d be near the top of Top, if people voted it up enough. I like the idea of prediction markets but they seem cumbersome and many sorts of predictions need to be made super precise before you can bet on them, even if they wouldn’t have to be that precise to be socially acknowledged as sticking their necks out.
I don’t know of a best place on LW, but Predictionbook.com is a handy site for publishing your predictions. IIRC, gwern is an afficiannado.
Thanks! I’d wrongly assumed that all such sites were based on some sort of economic transaction.
I’ve read prediction markets that use money tend to violate gambling laws.