Are you suggesting that e.g. “R&D Person-Years 463205–463283 go towards ensuring that the AI has mastery of metallurgy, and R&D Person-Years 463283–463307 go towards ensuring that the AI has mastery of injection-molding machinery, and …”?
If no, then I don’t understand what “the world is complicated” has to do with “it takes a million person-years of R&D to build ASI”. Can you explain?
…Or if yes, that kind of picture seems to contradict the facts that:
This seems quite disanalogous to how LLMs are designed today (i.e., LLMs can already answer any textbook question about injection-molding machinery, but no human doing LLM R&D has ever worked specifically on LLM knowledge of injection-molding machinery),
This seems quite disanalogous to how the human brain was designed (i.e., humans are human-level at injection-molding machinery knowledge and operation, but Evolution designed human brains for the African Savannah, which lacked any injection-molding machinery).
LLMs quickly acquired the capacity to read what humans wrote and paraphrase it. It is not obvious to me (though that may speak more about my ignorance) that it will be similarly easy to acquire deep understanding of everything.
Are you suggesting that e.g. “R&D Person-Years 463205–463283 go towards ensuring that the AI has mastery of metallurgy, and R&D Person-Years 463283–463307 go towards ensuring that the AI has mastery of injection-molding machinery, and …”?
If no, then I don’t understand what “the world is complicated” has to do with “it takes a million person-years of R&D to build ASI”. Can you explain?
…Or if yes, that kind of picture seems to contradict the facts that:
This seems quite disanalogous to how LLMs are designed today (i.e., LLMs can already answer any textbook question about injection-molding machinery, but no human doing LLM R&D has ever worked specifically on LLM knowledge of injection-molding machinery),
This seems quite disanalogous to how the human brain was designed (i.e., humans are human-level at injection-molding machinery knowledge and operation, but Evolution designed human brains for the African Savannah, which lacked any injection-molding machinery).
Yes, I meant it that way.
LLMs quickly acquired the capacity to read what humans wrote and paraphrase it. It is not obvious to me (though that may speak more about my ignorance) that it will be similarly easy to acquire deep understanding of everything.
But maybe it will. I don’t know.