I ran that one in my head and thought, “that’s got to be about a million times less likely.” And indeed it was, 6 orders of magnitude. To some extent, I may just have gotten lucky… but I think that lurking on Less Wrong for the last couple years may have made me appreciate probabilities at a more intuitive level.
I ran that one in my head and thought, “that’s got to be about a million times less likely.” And indeed it was, 6 orders of magnitude. To some extent, I may just have gotten lucky… but I think that lurking on Less Wrong for the last couple years may have made me appreciate probabilities at a more intuitive level.
So does this mean Less Wrong actually works?