Yes; the way I’ve seen this work out in practice is that the tests whose results do best at disproving your hypothesis are incidentally often the ones actively testing for the best alternative hypothesis. This is certainly domain specific. That effect arises out of the fuzziness of medical conditions and the availability of tests; e.g. low breath alcohol would not rule out (/yield a lower posterior for) intoxication in general, while a hemi-paresis would.
Even then, once your certainty in your main hypothesis reaches a certain level, it’s hard to get any action-justifiable cost-benefit analysis for even breath alcohol testing (which due to legal reason would probably not be permissive anyways: “so you suspected it may not have been intoxication? and you didn’t go with the lege artis test? also, you didn’t document your worries on form A412”).
Not to argue that specific story, it may well be that the best course of action hinges on precisely that additional “party” information.
Potatoe potahtoh. Point being, when you have a highly favored hypothesis, forgoing glances into the dark may be the rational course of action when epistemological resources are in short supply..
Yes; the way I’ve seen this work out in practice is that the tests whose results do best at disproving your hypothesis are incidentally often the ones actively testing for the best alternative hypothesis. This is certainly domain specific. That effect arises out of the fuzziness of medical conditions and the availability of tests; e.g. low breath alcohol would not rule out (/yield a lower posterior for) intoxication in general, while a hemi-paresis would.
Even then, once your certainty in your main hypothesis reaches a certain level, it’s hard to get any action-justifiable cost-benefit analysis for even breath alcohol testing (which due to legal reason would probably not be permissive anyways: “so you suspected it may not have been intoxication? and you didn’t go with the lege artis test? also, you didn’t document your worries on form A412”).
Not to argue that specific story, it may well be that the best course of action hinges on precisely that additional “party” information.
Potatoe potahtoh. Point being, when you have a highly favored hypothesis, forgoing glances into the dark may be the rational course of action when epistemological resources are in short supply..