this Website uses Bayesian networks to evaluate claims—RootClaim

I found out this web­site, RootClaim, about a year and a half ago (a bit af­ter it was founded), much be­fore find­ing LW. that’s how i found out about Bayesian prob­a­bil­ity, and i re­mem­ber get­ting crazy at the po­ten­tial of it :)

So i now thought “surly some­one posted about it on LW”—i searched, and found noth­ing. I won­der if there’s a rea­son or it’s just that some­how no one here heard about it.

Any­way, it uses Bayesian trees (a spe­cial case of Bayesian net­works), to eval­u­ate differ­ent hy­poth­e­sis.

any­one can sumbit a topic. and then any­one can sub­mit hy­poth­e­sis, sources, and so on. ev­ery­thing is crowd­sourced.

as a tool, it seems to have a lot of po­ten­tial, and i even saw that Nis­sim Taleb (Author of the black swan) twit­ted about it fa­vor­ably.

main prob­lem is, it seems to be quite in­ac­tive, both the com­mu­nity (which is su­per small), and the web­site it­self. the last up­date was in De­cem­ber 2017...

I would love to hear what you guys think about it, or the po­ten­tial of some­thing like it :)

here’s the link again: https://​www.root­claim.com