I’m hopeful that the politicians of the various nations who might initiate this conflict can see how badly that would turn out for them personally, and thus find sufficient excuses to avoid rushing into that scenario. Not certain by any means, but hopeful. There certainly will need to be some tense negotiations, at the least.
It’s not at all insane IMO. If AGI is “dangerous” x timelines are “short” x anthropic reasoning is valid...
… Then WW3 will probably happen “soon” (2020s).
https://twitter.com/powerfultakes/status/1713451023610634348
I’ll develop this into a post soonish.
I’m hopeful that the politicians of the various nations who might initiate this conflict can see how badly that would turn out for them personally, and thus find sufficient excuses to avoid rushing into that scenario. Not certain by any means, but hopeful. There certainly will need to be some tense negotiations, at the least.