Just a pointer, I’d strongly recommend basically anything by Alan Hajek about this topic. “The reference class problem is your problem too” is a highlight. I find him to be an exceptionally clear thinker on philosophy of probability, and expect discussions about probability and beliefs would be less confused if more people read his work.
Just a pointer, I’d strongly recommend basically anything by Alan Hajek about this topic. “The reference class problem is your problem too” is a highlight. I find him to be an exceptionally clear thinker on philosophy of probability, and expect discussions about probability and beliefs would be less confused if more people read his work.