In this metaphor, it seems to me that Qui-Gon also has a strong positive prior on [a child with a lot of midi-chlorian] being good. In other word, because of the prophecy, he believes that developing a lot of capabilities is likely to turn out good. The council doesn’t seem to share this prior. As you say, they are worried about the misalignement and the bad consequences it may lead to.
Of course, this is only a fiction, the fact that this kind of optimism led to some terrible outcome says little about how our future will be. A bad outcome made for a better story.
Yup I think you’re right about Qui-Gon and the council having different priors here and that being the reason for their different reactions. And yeah, definitely gotta be careful about The Logical Fallacy of Generalizing from Fictional Evidence here.
Good post!
In this metaphor, it seems to me that Qui-Gon also has a strong positive prior on [a child with a lot of midi-chlorian] being good. In other word, because of the prophecy, he believes that developing a lot of capabilities is likely to turn out good. The council doesn’t seem to share this prior. As you say, they are worried about the misalignement and the bad consequences it may lead to.
Of course, this is only a fiction, the fact that this kind of optimism led to some terrible outcome says little about how our future will be. A bad outcome made for a better story.
Thanks!
Yup I think you’re right about Qui-Gon and the council having different priors here and that being the reason for their different reactions. And yeah, definitely gotta be careful about The Logical Fallacy of Generalizing from Fictional Evidence here.