Good post; it’s useful to discuss biases that people who frequent this site are especially susceptible to. This happens in US extremist religious groups too, for example see this article about the subset of people who predicted the apocalypse last year:
It’s been noted by scholars who study apocalyptic groups that believers tend to have analytical mindsets. They’re often good at math. I met several engineers, along with a mathematics major and two financial planners. These are people adept at identifying patterns in sets of data, and the methods they used to identify patterns in the Bible were frequently impressive, even brilliant. Finding unexpected connections between verses, what believers call comparing scripture with scripture, was a way to become known in the group. The essays they wrote explaining these links could be stunningly intricate.
That intricacy was part of the appeal. The arguments were so complex that they were impossible to summarize and therefore very challenging to refute. As one longtime believer, an accountant, told me: “Based on everything we know, and when you look at the timelines, you look at the evidence—these aren’t the kind of things that just happen. They correlate too strongly for it not to be important.” The puzzle was too perfect. It couldn’t be wrong.
This suggests a possibly alternative explanation, that analytical types tend/learn to enjoy systematizing, especially on topics that will be important to others. As Cosma Shalizi says,
Now, I relish the schadenfreude-laden flavors of a mega-disaster scenario as much as the next misanthropic, science-fiction-loving geek, especially when it’s paired with some “The fools! Can’t they follow simple math?” on the side.
Good post; it’s useful to discuss biases that people who frequent this site are especially susceptible to. This happens in US extremist religious groups too, for example see this article about the subset of people who predicted the apocalypse last year:
This suggests a possibly alternative explanation, that analytical types tend/learn to enjoy systematizing, especially on topics that will be important to others. As Cosma Shalizi says,