Quantum probabilities enter expected utility calculations
Well of course they do, but the question is whether it should be on a relative or absolute basis. That is, do you care about the probability along all futures, or just the relative probabilities among ones where there will be conscious observers? My suggestion above is from the relative position, while it sounds like your preference is to calculate utilities according to the absolute position.
I do not think it is a settled question which is the objectively right way to do it. I lean towards relative currently, but even stating that doesn’t narrow down exactly how to calculate expected value (is there weighting by number of observers? kind of observers?). I think we are all still confused on all of this, as evidenced by all the discussion here on the topic of anthropic probabilities, magical reality fluid, L-zombies, etc.
Well of course they do, but the question is whether it should be on a relative or absolute basis. That is, do you care about the probability along all futures, or just the relative probabilities among ones where there will be conscious observers? My suggestion above is from the relative position, while it sounds like your preference is to calculate utilities according to the absolute position.
I do not think it is a settled question which is the objectively right way to do it. I lean towards relative currently, but even stating that doesn’t narrow down exactly how to calculate expected value (is there weighting by number of observers? kind of observers?). I think we are all still confused on all of this, as evidenced by all the discussion here on the topic of anthropic probabilities, magical reality fluid, L-zombies, etc.